Monday, June 6, 2011

More on the 8 Game Schedule

Paul Kuharsky at ESPN's AFC South Blog took a look at the games that each team of the AFCS would miss should the season be delayed 4 weeks. With the news of a potential 8 game season, let's look at the Jaguars first 8 games.
  1. vs. Tennessee Titans
  2. at New York Jets
  3. at Carolina Panthers
  4. vs. New Orleans Saints
  5. vs. Cincinnati Bengals
  6. at Pittsburgh Steelers
  7. vs. Baltimore Ravens
  8. at Houston Texans
The Jaguars would miss a few potentially "should win" games if the season were cut in half. The Titans game should be a win for Jacksonville, especially considering it's at the beginning of the year before Locker can get comfortable in the pros. Everyone should want to play the Panthers. They should be terrible again this year. Again, the fact that it's an early season game makes it even more appealing. Finally, the Jaguars should be able to handle the Bengals, especially without Carson Palmer's presence.

The Jags may be missing 3 "should win" games, but they also would get to miss games against the Jets, Saints, Steelers, Ravens, and a Texans team that always gives them problems. In all reality, that's at least 4 "shouldn't win" games that the Jaguars could miss.

Now let's look at the final 8 games of their schedule:
  1. at Indianapolis Colts
  2. at Cleveland Browns
  3. vs. Houston Texans
  4. vs. San Diego Chargers
  5. vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  6. at Atlanta Falcons
  7. at Tennessee Titans
  8. vs. Indianapolis Colts
Here's a bit of good news. The Jaguars would maintain 2 of their originally scheduled 3 primetime games if the season is cut in half. Here's some more good news. the second half of the season appears a little softer for the Jaguars.

The Jags should beat the Browns and the Titans. They should be able to keep it close with the Falcons and the Buccaneers. That leaves two games against the Colts (always close games), a game against the Chargers (a "should lose" game), and a game against the Texans (could go either way). In all reality, the Jaguars may secretly prefer to miss the first half of the season. It would put the entire season's outcome at stake. If the Jaguars could sweep the Colts, they would need to win a maximum of 6 games to likely make the post-season. The possibility is intriguing, but as I've said before, I really don't expect it to happen.